Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.698281 0.798925 0.908054 1.035055 1.178675 1.335934 1.521059
2025-02-02 0.567917 0.709967 0.876966 1.087270 1.344503 1.648337 2.033859
2025-02-09 0.453632 0.615505 0.820493 1.097889 1.462099 1.922470 2.546827
2025-02-16 0.364910 0.534386 0.764306 1.096712 1.562266 2.187945 3.088760
2025-02-23 0.299087 0.470239 0.717726 1.097966 1.662841 2.465340 3.684578
2025-03-02 0.247525 0.415935 0.674369 1.094421 1.753164 2.737661 4.308230
2025-03-09 0.211897 0.378751 0.649256 1.112263 1.875161 3.068936 5.059120
2025-03-16 0.178267 0.338045 0.610997 1.101655 1.948630 3.332242 5.735552
2025-03-23 0.157226 0.314885 0.597504 1.128846 2.085733 3.710987 6.640412
2025-03-30 0.134388 0.283931 0.564888 1.116592 2.151599 3.976530 7.384305
2025-04-06 0.119043 0.264400 0.549697 1.132968 2.269209 4.342589 8.341556
2025-04-13 0.101388 0.236745 0.514251 1.104762 2.298745 4.552303 9.038766
2025-04-20 0.092869 0.227249 0.514178 1.147848 2.473928 5.055766 10.347346
2025-04-27 0.086551 0.221496 0.521019 1.206253 2.687645 5.657496 11.912695
2025-05-04 0.077355 0.207259 0.507221 1.218510 2.807677 6.088945 13.192200
2025-05-11 0.068503 0.192078 0.488777 1.217558 2.899101 6.472380 14.416724
2025-05-18 0.061016 0.178826 0.472594 1.219163 2.995976 6.877235 15.728997
2025-05-25 0.054230 0.166017 0.455312 1.215391 3.079776 7.262717 17.040595
2025-06-01 0.049466 0.157801 0.448143 1.235177 3.220926 7.788593 18.713234
2025-06-08 0.043871 0.145999 0.429678 1.223524 3.284684 8.146948 20.048315
2025-06-15 0.040637 0.140577 0.427389 1.253578 3.455134 8.768291 22.047173
2025-06-22 0.036154 0.130285 0.409873 1.240075 3.513173 9.130798 23.478075
2025-06-29 0.033246 0.124451 0.404114 1.258167 3.655745 9.711607 25.488140